关于煤矿深部开采条件下巷道掘进过断层的安全分析
李俊虎
（山西乡宁焦煤集团燕家河煤业有限公司，山西 乡宁 042100）
摘要： 随着煤矿开采不断向深部推进，巷道掘进过断层将成为常态事件，当前煤矿安全管控关于这个层面的风险评
判基本依赖经验做定性估计，可靠程度较低。基于针对性、层次性、区域性等原则，梳理出影响巷道掘进过断层的因素
架构，并给出这些因素的量化方法。根据该类风险评价的复杂性、动态性等特质，选用层次分析法和灰色聚类作为建模
主体。以拥有16 个待评巷道的实际案例数据为背景，一方面运用层次分析法进行安全风险排序，另一方面借助灰色聚类
给出各待评对象的风险程度。结果显示，两者结论较为一致，可结合起来作为煤矿深部开采条件下巷道掘进过断层的安
全分析辅助决策。
关键词： 深部开采；层次分析；灰色聚类；风险评判
中图分类号： TD163     文献标识码： A     文章编号： 2095-0802-(2021)02-0043-03
Safety Analysis of Roadway Driving through Faults under Deep Mining Condition in Coal Mine
LI Junhu
(Yanjiahe Coal Industry Co., Ltd., Xiangning Coking Coal Group of Shanxi, Xiangning 042100, Shanxi, China)
Abstract: With the continuous development of coal mining to the deep, roadway driving through faults will become a normal
event. At present, the risk assessment of coal mine safety management and control at this level basically relies on experience to
make qualitative estimation, and the reliability is low. Based on the principles of pertinence, hierarchy and regionality, this paper
sorted out the factor framework influencing roadway driving through fault, and gave the quantitative method of these factors.
According to the complexity and dynamic characteristics of this kind of risk assessment, AHP and grey clustering were selected as
the main modeling body. Taking the actual case data of 16 roadways to be evaluated as the background, on the one hand, AHP
was used to rank the safety risks, on the other hand, the risk degree of each object to be evaluated was given by means of grey
clustering. The results show that the two conclusions are relatively consistent, which can be combined as an auxiliary decisionmaking
for the safety analysis of roadway driving through faults under deep mining conditions.

Key words: deep mining; AHP; grey clustering; risk assessment