湖南省碳排放核算与碳中和能力评估研究
龚炯波
（深圳市特种设备安全检验研究院，广东 深圳 518029）
摘要： 为减少温室气体排放，减缓全球温室效应，中国提出争取在2060 年前实现“碳中和”的宏伟目标。湖南省是
中国能源消耗大省，其碳排放强度居全国前列，其碳排放量控制对中国实现“碳中和”目标有着深远影响。为估算其碳
排放量，采用IPCC 碳排放估算法，核算湖南省2003—2019 年一次能源和电力消耗所产碳排放，并利用其固碳能力评估
该省碳中和潜力。研究结果表明，湖南省的碳排放总量随时间的增加呈缓慢下降趋势，其中，电力消耗所产生的碳排放
是其主要贡献源，也是湖南省实现碳中和的限制性因素。通过该研究，希望能最大程度地反映湖南省碳排放状况，为节
能减排的政策制订和资源管理提供科学依据。
关键词： 湖南省；碳排放；碳中和
中图分类号： X16     文献标识码： A     文章编号： 2095-0802-(2021)07-0071-04
Study on Carbon Emission Accounting and Carbon Neutrality Evaluation in Hunan Province
GONG Jiongbo
(Shenzhen Institute of Special Equipment Inspection and Test, Shenzhen 518029, Guangdong, China)
Abstract: In order to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and slow down the global greenhouse effect, China has proposed the
ambitious goal of achieving "carbon neutrality" by 2060. Hunan Province is a major energy-consuming province in China, and its
carbon emission intensity ranks among the top in the country. Its carbon emission control has a profound impact on China's
achievement of the goal of "carbon neutrality". In order to estimate its carbon emissions, this paper used the IPCC carbon emission
estimation method to calculate the carbon emissions produced by the primary energy and electricity consumption in Hunan Province
from 2003 to 2019, and used its carbon sequestration capacity to assess the carbon neutral potential of the province. The
results of the study show that the total carbon emissions of Hunan Province are slowly declining over time, in which the carbon
emissions generated by electricity consumption are the main source of its contribution, and it is also the limiting factor for the
province to achieve carbon neutrality. Through this research, it is hoped that the carbon emission situation of Hunan Province can
be reflected to the greatest extent, and a scientific basis can be provided for policy formulation of energy conservation and
emission reduction and resource management.

 Key words: Hunan Province; carbon emissions; carbon neutrality