山东省能源消费与经济增长的实证分析
张丽华¹，武兰玉^1，2，王盛誉¹
（1. 临沂大学商学院，山东 临沂 276005；2. 南京航空航天大学经济学院，江苏 南京 211106）
摘要： 能源是国民经济发展的动力，对经济增长的规模与速度有一定的影响。使用协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验、
脉冲响应分析等手段对1995—2019 年的山东省能源消费与经济增长进行了实证分析。通过实证检验可得出山东省能源消
费总量与经济增长之间的回归方程不是伪回归，存在着长期稳定的均衡关系，具有因果关系，两者之间相互影响、相互
促进。并根据实证结论提出了改善能源利用的建议。
关键词： 能源消费；经济增长；VAR 模型；脉冲效应
中图分类号： F127；F206     文献标识码： A     文章编号： 2095-0802-(2022)01-0045-04
Empirical Analysis of Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Shandong Province
ZHANG Lihua¹, WU Lanyu^1,2, WANG Shengyu¹
(1. Business School, Linyi University, Linyi 276005, Shandong, China; 2. School of Economics, Nanjing University of Aeronautics
and Astronautics, Nanjing 211106, Jiangsu, China)
Abstract: Energy is the driving force for the development of the national economy, and it has a certain effect on the scale and
speed of economic growth. This paper used co -integration test, Granger causality test, impulse response analysis and other
methods to conduct an empirical analysis of the energy consumption and economic growth in Shandong Province from 1995 to
2019. The empirical test shows that the regression equation between the total energy consumption and economic growth in
Shandong Province is not a pseudo-regression, there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship and a causal relationship, and
the two influence and promote each other. Then based on the empirical conclusions, it put forward suggestions on improving
energy utilization.

Key words: energy consumption; economic growth; VAR model; impulse effect